Tuesday, February 5, 2019

What is going on in Venezuela?(1)

Venezuela is a rich country in gold, oil and bauxite. It has the world's largest oil reserves with 316 tons of gold reserves. Venezuela controls the world’s largest proven oil reserves in the world. Despite these natural resources, Venezuelan economy contracted 53% in five years and inflation is at over 1 million per cent. Most of the scholars state that Venezuelan economy did not manage well under Maduro's power. Nowadays, it is possible to buy 54 liters oil with one package of chocolate.

Some of the people in Venezuela also support these scholars view and they think that this economic crisis in Venezuela is because of Maduro. Also, for a long time, Venezuela is under Western sanctions.


Since april 1, almost everyday there have been uprising in Venezuela. During these uprising 120 person died and a lot of person injured. These kinds of things became normal and a part of daily life in Venezuela.


But last week, something interesting is happened in Venezuela. The leader of opposition party in Venezuela declared himself as a president. The opposition leader in Venezuela's name is Juan Gualido.

Juan Gualido was the Venezuelan parliamentary speaker. He is a young politician. He is just 35 years old. The 35- year-old is the international face of Venezuelan protest. More than a dozen countries have officially backed Guidó’s claim to be his country’s interim president and tens of thousands of people have turned out on the streets to support him.



More than a dozen European Union countries endorsed Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s interim president on Monday, piling the pressure on embattled President Nicolas Maduro to resign and clear the way for a new presidential election. Spain, Germany, France and Britain delivered diplomatic blows to Maduro’s rule by publicly supporting Guaido after a Sunday deadline for Maduro to call a presidential election passed without action. Sweden, Denmark, Austria, the Netherlands, Lithuania, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, the Czech Republic, Luxembourg, Poland and Portugal also lined up behind Guaido, who last month declared himself interim president with the support of the United States and many South American nations.

As it could be seen that now there are two presidents in country. One of them, Maduro, elected with official election. One of them, Gualido, declared himself as a president without any official election. However, most of the Western countries such as Spain, USA, Canada and England support Gualido.

In my opinion, this is a hypocrisy. Because, these countries always imply the importance of democracy in the world but now they start to support an illegal president.  Western countries need to notice their mistake as soon as possible and a solution should be established with dialogue with Maduro in Venezuela.

Monday, January 21, 2019

Hasidic Judaism-1-

I watched a documentary last week. The documentary's name is "one of us". Hasidism, a branch of Judaism, was explained in the documentary. It was a very interesting documentary.


The hasidic community has quite strict rules. Because of these strict rules, some members of the community want to quit the Hasidic community. The main theme explained in the documentary were people who left the community.


The community is almost like a family. For this reason, members of the community always support each other. This situation increases the loyalty of the members to the community. However, if you quit the community, members of the community exclude you and ignore you.

A former member od community stated that Hasidic community made the members of the community dependent on it and that if you quit, the only way is to commit a crime. Another former member argued that the community was against the reading and thanks to that community prevented quiting community.


The community created a pressure on its former members. The community follows and harasses its former members, and this puts pressure on former members.



RELATED LINK: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hasidic_Judaism

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Failed Coup d'etat in Gabon

The first coup d'etat news in 2019 came from Gabon. On January 7, 2019, there was news in the evening that a military coup started in Gabon. Some officers occupied the national television channel and announced that they take control of the government.

Later, however, the regime forces regained control of the national channel. The soldiers who occupied the national channel were arrested. Fortunately, this coup d'etat attempt became a failed coup d'etat.


Although this military coup was blocked, but I think the threat still continues in Gabon. The most important reason for this is that the country has been controlling with one party for many years.

The country has been controlled by the Bongo family for 51 years. Especially after the death of Omar Bongo there was an increase in the opposition movement in the country. After Ali Bongon won the election in 2016, armed conflicts began between two camps(Bongo camp and opposition camp). Then the conflict were controlled by regime.

However, as seen, the opposition in the country is not finished. In my opinion, Gabon could face again with new coup d'etat attempts or protests or uprisings in the future.


Wednesday, January 9, 2019

Algeria shuts southern borders to Syrians over security fears

According to Al Jazeera's news on January 02, 2019, Algeria shuts southern borders to Syrians over security fears. Algeria banned all Syrians from entering the country via its southern borders, hours after a rights group reported that 50 Syrians and Palestinians had been deported to neighbouring Niger before new year.


So what are the reasons behind that?

In my opinion there are two main reasons behind this policy. First reason is related with country's Arabization policy history. When Algeria gained its independence in 1962, it was established based on the nation-state model. The cornerstone of this model was Arab nationalism and socialism. In this respect, the Algerian regime initiated a number of cultural and linguistic policies, which are called Arabization policy.

However, the country was under French control for a period of 100 years and there were few teachers who could give Arabic education after independence. For this reason, many Arabic teachers from Egypt, Syria and Gulf countries were brought to Algeria to teach Arabic. However, these teachers who came to Algeria were Muslim Brotherhood members. This was the first time that political Islam came to the country. 

The following process led to the rise of an Islamic party, Front Aslamique du Salut in 1989, and a civil war in 1992. The Algerian government does not want this situation in 1970s to be repeated again. In addition, the Algerian government considers these immigrants to have an uprising culture. 

The second reason is that the Algerian government does not want the demographic balances in the country to change much. There are still problems with the Berber ethnic minority in the country and Algerian regime does not want the problems of ethnic minorities crisis to increase and deepen.  


In conclusion, after the civil war between 1992-2002, Algerian regime tries to prevent the rising of Islamic movements and uprising culture in Algeria.


RELATED LINK: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/01/algeria-shuts-southern-borders-syrians-security-fears-190102185943986.html

Thursday, January 3, 2019

China's One Belt and One Road Initiative But What about security?

China is trying to establish the world's largest platform named "One Belt One
Road," called by westerners as “Belt & Road Initiative” (McKinsey, 2016). China
would like to create a modern Silk Road with an aim to link first herself with Central
Asia, West Asia, and South Asia. This project started in 2013. In 2015, stated that there
are two main components in the BRI:

1. The first important part of this project is a land-based "Belt". It refers to "Silk
Road Economic Belt". This project will try to link China with Central Asia,
Eastern, and Western Europe.

2. The second important part of this project is "Road. It refers to "21st Century
Maritime Silk Road". This project based on the sea, which connects China to
Europe through the Persian Gulf, the Mediterranean and the Indian Ocean
(Jinchen, 2016). It will link China to South East Asia, Africa, and Central Asia.
“Road” project will connect China with Southeast Asia, Africa, and Europe over
the sea.

In order to facilitate the formation of the belt and road, a number of agreements
have already been made for this project. China signed bilateral agreements with five
countries: China signed bilateral agreements with Turkey, Hungary, Mongolia, Russia,
and Tajikistan (McKinsey Company, 2016). More than 200 companies have signed a
partnership agreement for this project.

China established the Silk Road Fund in 2014 and donated $ 40 billion to this
fund. At the same time, the PRC provided the establishment of a new bank: This bank
name is the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). This bank will be used to
support the BRI and thought to be like China's Bretton Woods (McKinsey
Company,2016).

China emphasizes that the BRI would integrate the world and provide mutual
"win-win" benefits (Diplomat, 2016). Essentially, the BRI's goal is to build trade routes
between China and countries in Central Asia, Europe, and the Indo-Pacific coast
countries. With this initiative, China tries to connect these countries with China and also
with the rest of the world (Quora, 2017). The BRI tries to connect the PRC to the world
with railways, oil pipelines, electric networks, ports and other infrastructure projects
(Quora, 2017). In other words, this project will become a bridge between China and the
world.



However, this project covers many countries with security problems. For a long time, China's solution to this situation had been discussed in academia. December 19, 2018 New York Times reports that the Pakistani Air Force and Chinese officials were putting the final touches on a secret proposal to expand Pakistan’s building of Chinese military jets, weaponry and other hardware. 

This agreement shows that China also begins to focus on the security of the project. However, this agreement was interpreted as increasing the military power of China in the region according to the New York Times and other Western newspapers. However, this agreement is the first step of China's security project inside One Belt and One Road Initiative.

In my opinion, this agreement is quite logical. China needs to protect the project in countries with security problems such as Pakistan. It is quite reasonable to make such security agreements in the countries involved in the project. In the future, we can see many more such agreements. 

However, it is too early for the New York Times' concern.The project is quite new and in its current form of the project is still economic and peaceful.